Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.535355 0.590667 0.650248 0.719358 0.797520 0.883408 0.985244
2025-10-12 0.450885 0.528257 0.617886 0.730098 0.867817 1.032599 1.246602
2025-10-19 0.400306 0.487949 0.594520 0.735072 0.917691 1.149896 1.472299
2025-10-26 0.363583 0.457256 0.575638 0.738474 0.960194 1.256835 1.692910
2025-11-02 0.336490 0.434570 0.562679 0.745437 1.004747 1.367811 1.929986
2025-11-09 0.306375 0.404360 0.535865 0.729243 1.013298 1.426732 2.096396
2025-11-16 0.288612 0.388903 0.527053 0.736268 1.054219 1.535154 2.350355
2025-11-23 0.269531 0.369762 0.510989 0.730451 1.074171 1.612333 2.562985
2025-11-30 0.255711 0.356862 0.502513 0.734565 1.108850 1.715173 2.831419
2025-12-07 0.239685 0.339457 0.485835 0.724162 1.118613 1.777186 3.035454
2025-12-14 0.225555 0.323833 0.470554 0.714343 1.127787 1.838221 3.245049
2025-12-21 0.209069 0.303559 0.446672 0.688523 1.107142 1.844179 3.349024
2025-12-28 0.203021 0.299140 0.447492 0.703852 1.159786 1.989126 3.754179
2026-01-04 0.196423 0.293428 0.445830 0.714811 1.205754 2.127319 4.169902
2026-01-11 0.189143 0.286120 0.440972 0.719646 1.240664 2.247953 4.568247
2026-01-18 0.182163 0.278838 0.435593 0.722962 1.272763 2.366439 4.982590
2026-01-25 0.176351 0.273098 0.432363 0.729749 1.311984 2.503986 5.467421
2026-02-01 0.167054 0.261023 0.417532 0.713964 1.304860 2.542281 5.714422
2026-02-08 0.162213 0.256192 0.414932 0.720812 1.344035 2.685886 6.259102
2026-02-15 0.155699 0.248143 0.406158 0.715142 1.356607 2.771255 6.665674
2026-02-22 0.151115 0.243176 0.402552 0.719152 1.389898 2.908307 7.244455
2026-03-01 0.144733 0.234742 0.392187 0.709011 1.391527 2.970422 7.619944
2026-03-08 0.138836 0.226887 0.382455 0.699439 1.393497 3.033586 8.012553